Topic OutlinesGo to lecture: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28.
I. Origins of term
A. Roman etymologyII. Manifestations of phenomenon
B. Romantic expansion
C. Psychometric measurement
D. Historiometric assessment
A. LeadershipIII. Illustrations: Eponyms
B. Creativity
IV. Critical questions
Greatness: pp. 3-6, 410-12 / Exam Questions 1,2,4
I. Introduction
A. The problem: How to assess the magnitude of geniusI. Measurement strategies
B. A solution: Armchair evaluations
C. Some objections
A. PollsIII. Measurement principles1. Surveys of the experts: ReputationB. Archives
2. Surveys of the masses: Popularity1. Examplesa. Performance frequencies2. Evaluation
b. Space measures
c. Citation indicators
A. Scales of measurement: Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, and RatioIV. Conclusion
B. Adequacy of measurement: Reliability and Validity
Greatness: pp. 6-8, 339-40 / Exam Question 1,4
I. The nature of the technique
A. The logic of causal inferenceII. Classic inquiries
B. The asset of laboratory studies
A. Gestalt schoolIII. Modern developments1. Insight experimentsB. Information-processing school
2. Functional fixedness
3. Incubation periods
4. Optimal representations1. Reasoning processesa. Deductive reasoning2. Problem-solving processes
b. Inductive reasoninga. Problem types
b. Tactics
c. Protocol analysis
A. Individual differencesIV. Final observations
B. Social processes
A. The optimistic implicationsGreatness: pp. 84-87 / Exam Question 1,4
B. The pessimistic reality
I. Early antecedents: Can machines emulate
the mind?
A. From calculators to computers
II. Three illustrations1. Arithmetic machines: Abacus to PascalB. The emergence of the Artificial Intelligence movement
2. Programmable computers: Babbage & Ada to ENIAC1. Information theory and cybernetics
2. General problem solvers
A. Expert systemsB. Chess masters1. Examples: COOKER & MYCIN
2. Criticism
1. Rival approachesC. Discovery programsa. Knowledge-based (expert) programming2. Specific manifestation: DEEP BLUE
b. Power (brute-force) programming
3. Critique: Is DEEP BLUE a chess genius?
1. Basic assumption: Genius = Problem solving writ largeIII. Broad critique: Can computers exhibit genius?
2. Examples: BACON, GLAUBER, STAHL, DALTON, etc.
3. Evaluation
Greatness: pp. 87-92 / Exam Question 1,4
I. Goal of the technique
II. Documents and products
A. DocumentsIII. Types of content analytical schemes
B. Products1. Written works
2. Visual creations
3. Musical compositions
A. Subjective assessments: Human judgesIV. Pros & cons1. Schemes inspired by standard psychometric instrumentsB. Objective counts: Computer programs
2. Schemes devised specifically for content analysis1. Verbal materials
2. Nonverbal materials
A. ConsGreatness: pp. 27-29, 251-53 / Exam Question 2,41. ApplicationB. Pros
2. Definition
3. Effort
4. Validity1. Diversity
2. Uniqueness
3. Unobstrusiveness
4. Computerizability
I. The nature of psychometrics
A. Test typesII. Key example: The IQ test1. Individual vs. group testsB. Test construction
2. Single vs. multiple dimensions
3. Cognitive vs. personality measures1. Collecting items
2. Demonstrating their cohesion
3. Assessing reliability
4. Establishing validity
A. Historical origins: Whence came the IQ?III. General evaluation of psychometric measurement1. Francis Galton’s Anthropometric LaboratoryB. Current controversies: What does IQ mean?
2. Alfred Binet’s test & the Stanford-Binet IQ
3. Subsequent developments1. Dimensionality: Single vs. multiple intelligences?C. Recent developments: Where are IQ tests going?
2. Etiology: Genetic vs. experiential causes?
3. Meaning: Technology vs. theory?
4. Implications: Scholastic vs. real-life success?
A. Ethnocentric biasesGreatness: pp. 216-23, 232-33, 237-39 / Exam Questions 1,2,4
B. Personal idiosyncrasies
I. Advantages of approach
A. Developmental normsII. Example: Terman’s classic Genetic Studies of Genius
B. Individual differences
A. BackgroundIII. Disadvantages of approach
B. The series of inquiries1. Methoda. The sample2. Results
b. The measuresa. Volume 1: Gifted Children3. Current statusi. Family backgroundb. Volume 3: The Promise of Youth
ii. Physique and health
iii. Educational history
iv. Childhood interests & preoccupations
v. Character tests
vi. Trait ratings
c. Volume 4: The Gifted Child Grows Up
d. Volume 5: The Gifted Group at Mid-life
A. ExpenseGreatness: pp. 142-43, 222-23 / Exam Questions 1,2,3,4
B. Attrition
C. Measurement
I. Antecedents: Quetelet, Galton, & Cattell
II. Definition: Frederick Woods
III. Classic example: Catharine Cox’s (1926) Early Mental Traits
A. Impetus for the inquiryIV. Advantages & disadvantages1. Terman’s (1917) IQ estimate for GaltonB. The measures
2. Terman’s longitudinal study & the missing volume1. IQ measurementC. Conclusionsa. Sample criteria2. Character measurement
b. Data compilation
c. Score calculationa. Sample truncation
b. Measures: 67 traits1. IQ consequencesa. Contrasts among domains of achievement2. Character consequences
b. Relation between IQ & eminencea. Personality profiles across domains
b. The role of personality in attaining fame
Greatness: pp. 143-44, 223-27 / Exam Questions 1,2,3,4
I. The mathematical sciences: The Pythagorean
tradition
A. The importance of mathematics in the "exact" sciencesII. The method of modeling: The Newtonian tradition
B. The historical origins of this idea1. Ancient Greeks: Pythagoras, Euclid, & Ptolemy
2. Scientific revolution: Copernicus, Kepler, & Galileo
A. Isaac Newton’s 1687 Mathematical PrinciplesIII. Illustration: IQ and influence1. Celestial mechanics from terrestrial mechanicsB. General procedure: 3 steps
2. Approach: Definitions, axioms, lemmas, theorems
3. Exemplar for the mathematical sciences1. FormulationC. Types of models: Deterministic vs. probabilistic
2. Solution
3. Application
A. The problem: Relation between IQ and leadership/creativityIV. Pros & cons of technique
B. The model’s central assumptions
C. Four successive models1. Intellectual superiority
2. Comprehension factor
3. Criticism factor
4. Intellectual stratification
Greatness: pp. 233-37 / Exam Question 2,4
I. Goal: a "Creativity Quotient" or CQ
II. Types & examples
A. Cognitive style: How do creator’s think?III. Problems: Are the tests valid?1. Verbal testsB. Personality disposition: What makes creators tick?a. Remote associates2. Visual tests
b. Word associations
c. Fable endings
d. Consequencesa. Ingenuity
b. Unusual uses
c. Product improvement
d. Pattern meanings1. Preference for complexity: Barron-Welsh Art ScaleC. Biographical background: Where are creators’ roots?
2. Self-concept: The ACL CPS
3. Values & interests: How Do You Think ScaleD. Creative achievement: By their fruits shall we know them?
A. Divergent validityV. Upshot: Is there a CQ test?
B. Convergent validity
C. Predictive validity
D. Construct validity
Greatness: pp. none (take a break from reading!) / Exam Questions 1,2,4
I. The approach & its ambition
A. Sample contemporary celebritiesII. Representative inquiries: Solo vs. institutional studies
B. Subject them to extensive assessment, including:1. Standard personality measures
2. Group & individual interviews
3. Observer-based ratings from multiple assessors
4. Biographical inventories & other miscellany
A. Solo inquiries: Anne Roe’s (1953) The Making of a ScientistIII. Evaluation of contributions1. SelectionB. Institutional inquiries: The IPAR tradition at UCB
2. Interview & assessment
3. Specific resultsa. Intelligence4. General portrait
b. Thinking habits
c. Projective measures
d. Life histories1. Frank Barron’s professional writers
2. Ravenna Helson’s women mathematicians
3. Donald MacKinnon’s illustrious architects
A. Richness of dataGreatness: pp. 253-55, 265-70, 276-78 / Exam Questions 2,3,4
B. Resources
C. Applicability
D. Intrusiveness
I. The information-processing perspective
A. Key to understanding genius: Learning how data are manipulatedII. Leadership1. Creativity: work on problem solvingB. Two methodological approaches
2. Leadership: work on integrative complexity1. The psychometric: Paragraph Completion Test
2. The content analytical adaptation of the PCT
A. PerformanceIII. Conclusion1. Revolutionary successB. Decision making
2. Military prowess
3. Election victory1. Responding to crisesC. Ideology & policy
2. Anticipating crisesa. Groupthink
b. Surprise attacks1. Isolationism
2. Ideologuesa. Elected officials
b. Supreme court justices
c. Soviet politicians
Greatness: pp. 78-81, 208, 326-28, 355-62 / Exam Question 2,4
I. The Thematic Appercepton Test (TAT) revisited
A. Murray’s (1938) Explorations in PersonalityII. Content analytical applications
B. TAT projective measure1. Achievement motive (nAch)C. Application to content analysis of archival materials ®
2. Affiliation motive (nAff)
3. Power motive (nPower)1. Motivation in history
2. Two programs: Economic vs. political leadership
A. Economic leadership: Achievement motivation & prosperityIII. Critique1. Classic theory: M. Weber’s "Protestant work ethic"B. Political leadership: Power motivation & performance
2. Modern revision: nAch and entrepreneurial capitalism
3. Tests: McClelland’s (1961) The Achieving Societya. Cross-cultural: preliterate & industrial
b. Transhistorical: from Greece to the U.S.A.1. Winter’s (1973) Power Motivea. The Don Juan theme in national literatures2. Motivation & performance in the U.S. presidency
b. Motive imagery in presidential inaugural addresses
3. Further extensions of technique
Greatness: pp. 123-34, 136-38, 407-08 / Exam Questions 2,3,4
I. The mad-genius controversy
A. History of the debateII. The empirical findings
B. Psychiatrists vs. humanistic psychologists
A. Historiometric studies1. ListsB. Psychometric studies
2. Percentages
3. Profiles
III. Continuing controversies1. Personality: 16 PF, EPQ, & MMPIC. Psychiatric studies
2. Cognitiona. Increased allusive thought & overinclusion
b. Reduced latent inhibition1. Clinical diagnoses
2. Congenital disorders
A. How precise are the diagnostic categories?Greatness: pp. 284-311, 276-78 / Exam Questions 1,2,3,4
B. Talking about half empty vs. half full?
C. What pathology is most strongly associated with genius?
D. How does the incidence vary across achievement domains?
E. What is the role of genetic inheritance?
F. How are the factors causally connected?
I. Fundamental question: An optimal age for genius?
A. When does achievement begin?II. Empirical findings
B. When does achievement peak?
C. When does achievement end?
A. CreativityIII. Methodological issues1. History of researchB. Leadership
2. Central resultsa. Typical age curve
b. Interdisciplinary differences1. Measurement problem
2. Some characteristic results
3. Contrasts among leadership domainsa. Religious leaders4. Parallel contrasts in life span
b. Political leaders
A. Quality not quantity?IV. Theoretical interpretations: Extrinsic versus intrinsic factors
B. Differential competition?
C. Aggregation errors?
V. Conclusion
Greatness: pp. 180-215 / Exam Questions 2,3
I. Introduction: The Ortega hypothesis
II. The productive elite: Productivity as the hallmark of creative genius
A. The cross-sectional distribution1. The Dennis percentagesB. Theoretical explanations
2. The Lotka law
3. The Price law
II. Quantity vs. quality: Does productivity = creativity?1. Upper tail of normal distribution?
2. Cumulative advantage?
3. Multiplicative functions?
4. Combinatory model?
A. Typology: Prolific, Silent, Perfectionists, and Mass-ProducersIII. The determinants of lifetime productivity
B. The facts and their implications
A. The three logical componentsGreatness: pp. 57-60, 138-41, 228-32, 255-57 / Exam Questions 1,2,3,41. Precocity, longevity, & output rateB. Theoretical interpretations
2. Their mathematical independence
3. Yet their empirical correlation1. Cumulative advantage
2. Combinatorial process
I. Historical antecedents
A. The foundationII. The "new experimental aesthetics"1. Philosophical aesthetics from Plato to KantB. Modern developments
2. Experimental aesthetics: Fechnera. Elements of Psychophysics (1860)
b. Study of the Golden Section (1865)
c. Study of Holbein’s Madonna (1871)
d. Elements of Aesthetics (1876)1. Production
2. Perception
3. Judgment ->
A. The basic paradigmIII. Critique1. The theory: hedonic value & arousal potentialB. Three classic examples
2. The research: art-like stimuli & preferences1. Visual arts: Francès (1976)
2. Music: Steck & Machotka (1975)
3. Literature: Kamman (1966)
A. AccomplishmentsIV. Alternative?
B. Liabilities
Greatness: pp. 108-09 / Exam Question 2,4
I. Compositional style: Paisley (1964)
A. Impetus: "minor encoding habits" and personal styleII. The first six notes: What can they tell us?1. Renaissance artists: Ears, hands, & stonesB. Application to music
2. Literary figures from Homer to Shakespeare1. Two-note transition probabilities for first 4 notes
2. Tests against unknown samples
3. The computer’s superiority to listeners, even experts
A. Sample: 15,618 themes by 479 composersIII. Computer analyses of other artistic creations
B. Measures1. Repertoire melodic originalitya. Calculation by computer2. Zeitgeist melodic originality
b. Validation
c. Association with critical variablesi. Variation over time
ii. Correspondence with life events
iii. Effect on aesthetic successa. Relation to age
b. Relation to popularity
Greatness: pp. 110-14, 209-11 / Exam Question 2,4
I. Child prodigies: The intimidating few
A. Examples: Historical and contemporaryII. Gifted children: The talented many
B. Questions1. What is a child prodigy?
2. Where do they originate?
3. What determines their domain of achievement?
4. Are prodigies geniuses?
5. Why don’t all prodigies become geniuses?
A. What is a gifted child?III. Savants: The tragic exceptions1. Psychometric definitionsB. What are gifted children like?
2. Behavioral definitions
3. Comprehensive definitions1. Getzels & Jackson’s (1962) classic studyC. How can giftedness be cultivated?
2. Wallach & Kogan’s (1965) follow-up
A. Examples: Mathematical, artistic, musicalGreatness: pp. 239-46 / Exam Questions 1,2,3
B. Lessons1. Neurological commonalities with prodigies
2. Modular nature of intellect
3. Integrative nature of creative genius
I. Three broad circumstances
A. Birth orderII. Interpretations: The nature-nurture issue1. Representative findingsB. Childhood stress
2. Explanationsa. Intellectual development: Zajonc’s confluence model
b. Personality development:i. Stewart’s Adlerian model
ii. Sulloway’s Darwinian model1. Parental loss & orphanhoodC. Enriched environmenta. Anecdotal evidence2. Other stressful events & conditions
b. Empirical data
c. Interdisciplinary differences
d. Explanations1. General profilea. Socioeconomic class2. Contrasts among achievement domains
b. Religious beliefs
c. Leisure activities
A. NurtureGreatness: pp. 144-58, 166-68, 408 / Exam Questions 2,3,4
B. Nature
I. Introduction to the problem: Albert Einstein’s views
II. The facts of the case
A. Scholastic successIII. Broader interpretative issues1. AttitudesB. Levels of formal training: Three historiometric inquiriesa. Towards school2. Performance
b. Teachers towards thema. Primary & secondary education
b. Higher education1. Cox’s (1926) 301 geniuses
2. 33 U.S. presidents
3. Goertzels’ (1978) 317 modern eminent
IV. Final note: The role of marginality
A. Three varieties of marginalityGreatness: pp. 64-68, 158-66, 172-73 / Exam Questions 2,31. Cultural: Immigrants & minority groups vs. native bornB. The impact of professional marginality
2. Geographical: Provincials vs. cosmopolitans
3. Professional: Outsiders vs. insiders
I. The clustering of genius
A. Two classic studiesII. Role-models & mentors1. Francis Galton’s 1869 Hereditary GeniusB. Possible explanations
2. Alfred Kroeber’s 1944 Configurations of Culture Growth1. External
2. Internal
A. Aggregate analysesIII. Social networks of genius1. The principles of generational time-series analysisB. Individual analysesa. Slicing history into 20-year generations2. Illustration: 10,160 geniuses of Chinese civilization
b. Assigning persons according to floruits
c. Developmental, productive, and consolidative periods
d. Causal implications1. Leaders: 342 European kings, queens, & sultans
2. Creators: 772 artists of Western civilization
A. Aggregate analysesIV. Final probe: Whence arises the first genius?
B. Individual analyses
Greatness: pp. 9-16, 171-72, 375-402 / Exam Questions 2,3
I. Extrinsic forces: Externalist accounts
A. Materialistic reflectionsII. Intrinsic impetus: Internalist interpretations1. Marxist theoryB. Idealistic dialectic
2. Empirical data: Social stratification & Greek art1. Hegelian motive
2. Illustration: Sorokin’s (1937-41) magnum opusa. Basic concepts3. Implication: Cross-media artistic styles?i. Culture mentalitiesb. Consequences for art: Ideational vs. visual styles
ii. Principle of limits
iii. Law of immanent change
A. Progressive adaptationIII. Conclusion1. The idea of artistic progressB. Evolutionary expression: Colin Martindale’s theory
2. Case: Photographic realism in art
3. Precautions
Greatness: pp. 278-83 / Exam Question 2
I. Theories of literary change: Are writers literary epiphenomena?
II. Martindale’s psychological theory of aesthetic evolution
A. The theoryIII. Conclusion: Literary creativity in context1. Variation-selection model a la DarwinB. The research: Literary changea. Selection2. Implications: Trends ini. Natural: adaptive successb. Variation
ii. Sexual: hedonic valuei. Regression: Maximize primary process
ii. Elaboration: Minimize secondary processa. Arousal potential
b. Primary process
c. Stylistic change1. Content analytical studiesC. Critiquea. Poetry2. Experimental simulation
b. Short stories
c. Lyrics for popular songs
d. Literary criticism
Greatness: pp. 101-04 / Exam Question 2,4
I. Intellectual history: Rival notions of etiology
A. The lone thinker meditating in an isolated retreat, orII. Empirical inquiries
B. The massive enertia of the intellectual tradition?
A. Generational analyses1. MethodB. Individual-generational analysisa. 2,012 philosophers from Western civilization2. Results
b. Generational time series: 540 B.C. to A.D. 1900
c. Philosophical positionsi. Experience vs. reason or faith
ii. Matter vs. spirit
iii. Being vs. becoming
iv. Universals vs. particulars
v. Individual vs. society
vi. Determinism vs. free will
vii. Pleasure vs. Charitya. Intellectual inertia
b. Hegelian thesis-antithesis
c. Active vs. receptive beliefs
d. Phenomenon of intellectual polarization
III. The great thinker & the intellectual milieu revisited1. Hypotheses
2. Method
3. Results and Discussion
Greatness: pp. 260-65, 334-35, 362-70 / Exam Questions 1,2,3,4
I. Sociocultural Determinism
A. The presumed proof: Multiple discovery and inventionII. Critique of traditional thesis
B. The implications for studying creative genius1. No latitude for chance: Whence serendipity?
2. No room for the person: Whence psychology?
3. No multiples in the arts: Whence scientific creativity?
A. Logical issues1. Universals vs. particularsa. Generic categories2. Independence vs. antecedence
b. Central messages
c. Adumbrationism
3. Simultaneity vs. rediscovery
4. Inevitability vs. eventuality
III. ImplicationsB. Empirical issuesa. Necessary vs. sufficient causes
b. Rediscovery as anomaly1. Multiple grades
2. Degree of simultaneity
3. Multiples participation
4. Necessary conditions
Greatness: pp. 115-22 / Exam Questions 1,2,4
I. Three Test Cases
A. Military leaders: Victory on the battlefieldII. Consolidation1. Single-case study: NapoleonB. Kings, queens, & sultans: Hereditary & absolute rulers
2. Multiple-case study: 326 land battles1. Frederick Woods (1906, 1913)C. U.S. presidents: Elected & constitutional executives
2. Pitirim Sorokin (1925, 1926): reign length & greatness
3. Two follow-up studies of 342 monarchs (Simonton, 1983, 1984)1. Election successa. Personal attributes2. Popularity in polls
b. Situational characteristicsa. Intranational influences3. Objective performance
b. International influencesa. Foreign policy4. Historical greatness
b. Domestic policy
Greatness: pp. 74-77, 81-83, 248-51, 257-60, 312-38, 339-55, 402-10 /
Exam Questions 1,2, 3
I. Definition
A. Venn diagram: Genius, creativity, & leadershipII. Identification
B. Enigmas1. Creativity/leadership subset of genius?
2. Creativity/leadership not contained in genius?
3. Genius that is neither creativity nor leadership?
4. Creativity that overlaps leadership?
A. Developmental antecedents?III. Intervention
B. Personality traits?
C. Objective behaviors?
D. Social context?
A. Considerations
IV. Interpretation1. Nature or nurture?B. Evaluation
2. Genius or zeitgeist?
Greatness: pp. 370-74, 413-21 / Exam Questions 1,2,3,4